economy
The Economy category covers macroeconomic trends, fiscal policies, trade performance, and financial markets. It explores GDP growth, inflation, employment, investment flows, and regulatory changes, providing insights into economic stability, global trade relations, and policy impacts. This section serves as a resource for businesses, investors, and analysts monitoring economic developments.
Concerns raised for Vietnam ag producers re: EU-Thailand trade deal
For context, Vietnam’s seafood exports have benefited enormously from the myriad of trade deals the country has signed on to, however, sustainability has become a key issue. Overfishing is rife, hence the yellow card, and this has the potential to have long-term ramifications for many of Vietnam’s coastal, fishing dependent communities. That said, this yellow card coupled with the European Union-Vietnam Free Trade Agreement has, at least ostensibly, been a driver for change and speaks to the non-trade benefits of Vietnam’s many free trade agreements…
Korea launches anti-dumping probe into three Vietnam steel firms
Steel has been at the centre of a number of antidumping investigations of late. Hot-rolled coil steel from China in particular has been possibly the most prominent, however, Vietnam has also started to feature particularly as a means of circumventing anti-dumping tariffs elsewhere. For example, earlier this month the EU extended anti-dumping measures on cold-rolled stainless steel from Indonesia to include Vietnam to avoid Indonesian steel producers from using the country as a workaround…
Amnesty proposed for corrupt officials in Vietnam
This proposal comes amidst the ‘blazing furnace’ corruption crackdown, which has been blamed for a slowdown in project approvals. Officials, fearful of becoming subjects of corruption investigations, have often opted to avoid approving projects, leading to bottlenecks in a number of projects.
Vietnam records first trade deficit in nearly two years
Of note, in S&P Global’s monthly Purchasing Managers Index updates over the last year or so, the fact that Vietnamese manufacturers were burning through inventory rather than importing more, has been reported every other month. This was in the context of lower demand for Vietnam’s exports, a reality that seems to be changing–exports were 15.8 percent higher than in May of last year–and in which case businesses need to scale back up and import more inputs.
Intel executive laments poor labour productivity in Vietnam
Labour productivity is a recurring theme in Vietnam with the country trailing in Southeast Asia. In 2021, it was fourth to last of ASEAN member states (excluding Burnei), ahead of only Myanmar, Cambodia, and Lao. According to the Asian Productivity Organisation Vietnamese workers were productive to the tune of…
State Bank of Vietnam denies change of exchange rate policy
With Forex reserves being spent hand over fist trying to keep the dong from devaluing, there has been speculation that greater intervention may be needed, specifically an interest rate hike. On Thursday Bloomberg reported that Malayan Banking Berhad was expecting an interest rate hike possibly as early as this week…
Vietnam’s lowest paid civil servants on less than US$200 a month
If a plan to raise the salaries of Vietnam’s lowest paid civil servants is approved, it will see their pay increase to no less than VND 5 million, about US$200 a month. This will be roughly in line with the region 1 minimum wage from July 1st but still quite
Interest rate hike speculation in Vietnam heats up
Whereas the bank has been spending its US dollar reserves in an attempt to keep the dong from devaluing too much, the reality is that it has already spent a lot–about US$2.95 billion according to ACB data and this has done little to weaken US dollar demand. With this in mind, an interest rate hike could be on the horizon.
Vietnam minimum wage regions to change at next wage hike
The four regions by which Vietnam defines what minimum wage should be paid where, are to be updated this year when the minimum wage rises in July. This will see several local government areas move up a bracket giving an extra boost to minimum wage workers in these areas. Moving
Vietnam’s Land law 2024 for Foreign Investors
Last year, a revised Law on Land passed Vietnam’s National Assembly. This revised law has the potential to have a huge impact on Vietnam’s land market and could speed up foreign-invested projects considerably. With this in mind, this cheat sheet runs through the key changes in the new Law on Land and how this might impact foreign firms doing business in Vietnam.
Total forex reserves spent keeping the dong steady reach US$2 billion: ACB
This is a significant jump from last Wednesday when ACB estimated that the bank had spent just US$900 million. Of note, Vietnam is cagey about its foreign currency reserves and does not regularly publish forex data. It does, however, periodically communicate what it has on hand with the International Monetary Fund. The last report from the IMF, in September of 2023, recorded forex reserves of…
Vietnam bank-lending growth far from target at 1.6 percent
Whereas in the past credit growth for individual lenders has been set at the start of the year and increased as needed–but ensuring overall credit growth doesn’t go over a set limit–this year all stops have been pulled out. The State Bank has set the limit–although it’s more of a target at this point–at 15 percent overall but said banks are free to lend as they please with no institution-specific caps.
Minimum wage hike of 6 percent submitted to Vietnam government for approval
This will be welcome news for Vietnam’s minimum wage workers with no minimum wage hike last year despite inflation floating around 4 percent. The Vietnam General Confederation of Labor had been pushing for between 6.48 percent and 7.3 percent with the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry, a peak business representative body, pushing for between 4.5 and 5 percent. Vietnam’s National Wage Council, which makes recommendations to the ministry, looks to have essentially split the difference.
Billions of foreign aid lost in delays caused by politcal uncertainty in Vietnam
Of note, these delays in project approvals seem to be mostly in infrastructure projects and aid programs. New projects in the manufacturing and processing industry have continued to move forward without any more delays than is typical–critical to Vietnam’s economic development, investigating corruption in the industry could discourage further foreign direct investment.
Transcript of DOC hearing into Vietnam’s non-market economy status now available
This hearing should just about cap off contributions from the parties involved with the Department of Commerce now set to deliberate with a report due July 26.
Another politburo member resigns in Vietnam
Truong Thi Mai who was, until yesterday, the Standing Secretary of the Secretariat, has resigned her position. This was after it was revealed there were ‘violations and shortcomings’ in her work. Resignations among Vietnam’s leadership have become common of late with the president resigning in March and the Chariman of
State Bank sells US$400 million of forex reserves on Wednesday: ACB
Research from WiGroup last week estimated Vietnam’s reserves to be only about US$90 billion. That being the case, with the IMF recommending enough foreign currency on hand to cover three months worth of imports, and imports reaching just shy of US$30 billion in April, these reserves are dangerously low.
Vietanm customs data for April sees export growth, trade surplus slip
Vietnam customs data released last week shows a slight downturn in exports in April, losing 7.7 percent over March. That said, exports were still up over the first four months of the year by 15.1 percent compared to 2023. Imports were also down 2.9 percent in April over March but
Cutting the 48 hour work week back in the news in Vietnam
Overtures have been made by the Vietnam General Confederation of Labour–the VGLC–to the Ministry of Labor, War Invalids and Social Affairs to reduce standard working hours below the current 48 hours a week. This was announced back in January, however, in recent weeks the idea has gained traction with local
Reports workers are resigning in anticipation of changes to social security
Worker retention has become a problem at some firms in Vietnam due to pending changes to the ability to access social insurance before retirement. Currently, workers can choose to take a one-time payout if they are out of work for more than a year. There have, however, been reports that
In today’s Vietnam news: VN renews antidumping tariffs on Thai sugar, Power supply challenges continue, USTR tariffs forced labour, AMRO growth forecast downgrade, Foreign
In today’s Vietnam news: Fund outflows May, New HCMC airport trial operations to begin September, M&A HCMC 2026, Compensation for gas-to-electric bike switch Hanoi,
In today’s Vietnam news: Vietnam gene company planned Hong Kong IPO, Samsung signs DPPA, Oil delivery from Iraq, Bio-fuel mandate roll-out reaction, Stock market
This is an interview with Chris Walker, a Vietnam Sourcing Expert with Vietnam Factory Tours how rising oil prices and the Middle East crisis are
This is an interview with John Gardner, CEO and Founding Partner, at Optimum Hospitality in Ho Chi Minh City. It covers fuel price impacts on:
This is an interview with Dr Nuno F. Ribeiro, Associate Professor, International Tourism & Hospitality Management at Copenhagen Business College, formerly of RMIT Vietnam. It