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Tag: currency
The Currency category covers foreign exchange markets, monetary policy, and macroeconomic factors affecting currency valuations. It explores exchange rate fluctuations, central bank interventions, inflationary trends, and trade impacts, providing insights into currency markets, forex trading, and financial regulations. This section is essential for businesses, investors, and policymakers monitoring the effects of currency movements on the economy.
Vietnam foreign exchange market to reach US$7.9 billion by 2033: Report
Vietnam’s foreign exchange market reached US$3.4 billion in 2024 and is forecast to more than double to US$7.9 billion by 2033, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.61 percent during 2025–2033. The sector is expanding on the back of robust exports, foreign direct investment, and growing financial market sophistication, according to a report from IMARC Group.
Vietnam injects nearly US$305 million via repos as central exchange rate hits VND 24,899
On April 15, the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV) conducted two repo operations totalling over VND 7.9 trillion (US$305.5 million), offering liquidity at 4 percent interest as the dong weakened to VND 24,899 against the US dollar, according to data from the SBV.
Vietnam dong weakens 0.06 percent as central bank slows repo injections
This Vietnamese Dong Tracker records the latest news and developments with respect to the local currency. It includes the current prices as well as State Bank of Vietnam monetary policy and open market operations including treasury bill issuances and interbank lending.
State Bank of Vietnam sells US$2 billion supporting the dong
Of note, Khang is also quoted as saying that the SBV holds a sizable amount of its reserves in US Treasury bills and that if the SBV doesn’t want to sell these at a loss it can only really sell around US$12 to US$14 billion worth of its current reserves.
Vietnam C.bank readying itself to resume Forex sales: Local media
Of note, CafeF has reported, citing ‘sources’, that the SBV has advised some local banks that it intends to resume selling foreign currency. This has also been reported by Vietnam Securities Economic Magazine which has noted the intervention price has been set at 25,450–Vietcombank, among Vietnam’s biggest foreign currency traders, was selling US dollars yesterday for 25,475…
Vietnam holds position on US currency manipulation watchlist in November report
Vietnam has met two of three of the US Treasury’s currency manipulator criteria. Specifically it has a material current account surplus greater than 3 percent of its GDP (5 percent in the 12 months ended June 30) and a bilateral trade surplus with the US in excess of US$15 billion (US$111.7 billion in the 12 months ended June 30)…
US dollar exchange rate reaches new high against Vietnam’s dong
Dan Tri has contextualised this with black market prices. On the unofficial market US dollars were being bought for VND 25,570 and sold for VND 25,670, according to the publication…
State Bank of Vietnam returns to buying up US dollars
Notably, this may be problematic with Vietnam already on the US currency manipulator watchlist after meeting two of the three criteria, namely a material account surplus greater than 3 percent of GDP and a goods surplus with the US greater than US$15 billion. It has thus far, however, failed to meet the third criteria: foreign currency purchases in eight out of 12 consecutive months, worth more than 2 percent of GDP…
Vietnamese dong undervalued by 33.3 percent: Economist Big Mac index
Of note, since the start of the year, the Vietnamese dong has only devalued against the US dollar by about 4.5 percent since January 1. This has been on the back of efforts by the State Bank to keep the local currency from devaluing further against the US dollar by issuing treasury bills and burning through its US dollar and gold reserves…
What Does a Devalued Yen Mean for Vietnam?
Earlier this year the Japanese yen hit a 38-year low against the greenback and it’s currently sitting about 15 percent lower now than it was at the start of the year. Similarly, the Vietnamese dong took a big fall but has been propped up by the State Bank which has by extension kept the local currency higher against the Yen too. This article looks at what that might mean for Vietnam…
Black market US dollars sell for 550 dong higher than Vietnam official exchange rate
The SBV struggled to keep the dong from devaluing beyond 25,450 last week. Over the course of the week it issued US$1.2 billion in treasury bills to suck up liquidity and sold about US$520 million from its US dollar reserves, but still finished the week where it started. This latest development suggests that there might be more of the same this week…
Vietnam maintains position on US currency manipulator Monitoring List
Of note, the foreign currency criteria only addresses purchasing activity but not selling activity. Vietnam, however, has been dipping into its foreign currency reserves in order to stop the dong from devaluing since April… This speaks to Vietnam’s motives in the way it manages its currency, in that it does not necessarily appear to be trying to gain an unfair advantage in international trade even if its place on the Monitoring List might suggest otherwise…
Interest rate hike speculation in Vietnam heats up
Whereas the bank has been spending its US dollar reserves in an attempt to keep the dong from devaluing too much, the reality is that it has already spent a lot–about US$2.95 billion according to ACB data and this has done little to weaken US dollar demand. With this in mind, an interest rate hike could be on the horizon.
State Bank of Vietnam adds US$600 million to forex intervention tally
The State Bank looks to be using its forex reserves as a stop gap until the US cuts interest rates which should take some heat out of the US dollar. That said, the earliest analysts are expecting a US rate cut is July but September is looking much more likely, according to Morgan Stanley…
US dollar still at 25,450 dong level, more FX reserves needed
US dollars were being sold for 25,484 Vietnamese dong Sunday at some banks. This is above the 25,450 mark at which the State Bank of Vietnam has intervened by spending foreign currency reserves in the past. On the black market, US dollars were even higher selling for 25,800 a piece.
Impacts of Vietnam’s US dollar intervention on trade with Japan, Korea
The Japanese yen and the South Korean won are depreciating against the US dollar and subsequently are also depreciating against the Vietnamese dong, Tuoi Tre has reported. This is on the back of Vietnam trying to keep its currency from devaluing by issuing treasury bills and spending its foreign currency
UOB says Fed rate cut will see dong appreciate by year-end
Singpore’s United Overseas Bank–or UOB–has said that it expects the dong to appreciate between now and the end of the year, The Investor is reporting. This is reflected in UOB’s Quarterly Global Outlook 2Q24 which suggests that a recovery in China will likely strengthen the local currency as well as
The Dong’s Wild Ride: Unpacked
The day that Russia invaded Ukraine, on February 24, 2022, the Vietnamese dong was trading at 22,843 dong to one US dollar–it had barely moved since the start of the year. This was in line with much of the past decade in which the local currency had only depreciated marginally,
Bank of America expects dong to slide another 1 percent in 2024
The Bank of America is expecting the Vietnamese dong to slide by another 1 percent by the end of the year, CNBC is reporting. According to the publication, the BofA made the assessment based on “Vietnam’s political instability following the second presidential resignation in two years as well as difficulty
The State Bank is both buying and selling treasuries at the same time
On Wednesday the State Bank of Vietnam both bought VND 5,671.97 worth of treasuries from five local banks and sold another VND 5,500 billion to five Vietnamese banks. It’s not clear what the thinking is behind this but as far as keeping the exchange rate where it is, these two
April 2025
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