economy
The Economy category covers macroeconomic trends, fiscal policies, trade performance, and financial markets. It explores GDP growth, inflation, employment, investment flows, and regulatory changes, providing insights into economic stability, global trade relations, and policy impacts. This section serves as a resource for businesses, investors, and analysts monitoring economic developments.
How Well Prepared Is Vietnam for a Trump Presidency?
Most analysis in Vietnam of Trump’s election has centred around two key recurring themes: an increase in import tariffs in the United States as a direct impact on Vietnam; and, a likely stronger US dollar as a result of said tariffs and subsequently increased pressure on the dong. This article looks at how Vietnam might respond.
State Bank governor lowers expectations of interest rate cut in near-future
The Governor of the State Bank of Vietnam has said that it will be difficult to see further interest rate cuts in the near future with credit demand increasing and the risk of increased pressure on the exchange rate too great…
Vietnam’s consumer price index sees slight jump in October
Vietnam’s consumer price index–CPI–compared to October 2023, has risen by 2.89 percent, showing a moderate annual increase in consumer prices. Since December 2023, the CPI has grown by 2.52 percent, suggesting a consistent upward trend through the year; and from September to October 2024, the CPI increased by 0.33 percent, indicating a stable month-to-month price movement with minimal volatility…
US protectionism growing concern in Vietnam after Trump election
A possible jump in tariffs on Vietnamese goods after Donald Trump won the US presidential election yesterday is a key concerns among businesses in Vietnam, according to analysis from Tuoi Tre. The publication cites Trinh Viet Hoang Minh from ACBS Securities as suggesting Vietnam’s steel industry may face problems as Trump pursues protectionist measures on behalf of the US steel industry…
Temu in Vietnam: What’s Fair in Free Trade?
When Chinese e-commerce giant Temu officially launched in Vietnam last month the hype was palpable. Not only had the firm dropped a small fortune on advertising but it had also ruffled feathers in Vietnam’s business community: Temu’s goods were too cheap and Vietnamese producers could not compete. With a narrative containing two things Vietnamese love–huge discounts and hating on China–the local media piled on…
Vietnam, UAE to cut most import tariffs under new trade deal
Vietnam’s network of Free Trade Agreements–FTAs–has become a cornerstone of its economic strategy, enabling the country to integrate more deeply into the global economy and expand its trade partnerships. Over the past few decades, Vietnam has signed numerous bilateral and multilateral FTAs, positioning itself as a key player in regional and international trade…
US DOC make final determination on frozen warmwater shrimp from Vietnam, others
The DOC’s preliminary determination for Vietnam, notes that ‘one or more respondents did not act to the best of their ability to respond to Commerce’s requests for information’. There being only two firms investigated from Vietnam, and given that the second Soc Trang Seafood Joint Stock Company, the other firm, received its own subsidy rate of 2.84 percent, it appears that the aforementioned statement explains Thong Thuan’s much higher subsidy rate…
IMF Vietnam GDP growth forecast goes up for 2024 but down for 2025
The International Monetary Fund, in its October World Economic Outlook, has raised its growth forecast for Vietnam for this year to 6.1 percent up from 5.8 percent in its April report. It has, however, lowered its forecast for next year from 6.5 to 6.1 percent…
Vietnam gains four places on Economic Freedom index but overall score falls
The country saw progress in monetary stability, with its “Sound Money” ranking improving from 116th to 105th, and also made strides in regulatory policies, moving from 103rd to 99th in the “Regulation” category. However, Vietnam experienced setbacks in the “Size of Government,” where its ranking dropped significantly from 87th to 106th, indicating increased government intervention…
Vietnam beverage maker to pay US$860K for North Korea sanctions breach
The use of US dollars and involvement of US financial institutions led to violations of the North Korea Sanctions Regulations by causing U.S. financial institutions to export financial services to North Korea in violation of U.S. sanctions laws…
Malaysia launches trade investigation into steel bars from Vietnam, others
Of note, this is the second anti dumping probe into steel bars launched this week with Australia announcing a similar investigation. This is in line with a growing number of antidumping and circumvention investigations on steel products exported from Vietnam…
Vietnam business environment most improved 2003 to 2023: The Economist
The publication cites Vietnam’s ascension to several free trade agreements as well as declining operational costs and increased public investment in human capital as driving the improvement. It also suggests this is likely to continue…
Vietnam’s Economy in Q3 Beyond GDP Growth: Unpacked
Vietnam’s GDP grew by 7.4 percent in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 2023, according to data from the General Office of Statistics. This was higher than expected and bucked an understanding that it might take a hit off the back of Typhoon Yagi. This ostensibly positive news, however, seemed to overshadow another couple of key economic observations.
Vietnam Ministry of Planning and Investment sets 2025 growth target at 7-7.5 percent
Vietnam’s Ministry of Planning and Investment has set a target for GDP growth for Vietnam in 2025 of 7 to 7.5 percent in 2025, aiming to become one of the top 33 global economies, Tuoi Tre has reported. The goal includes achieving a GDP of US$500 billion and increasing per capita income to around US$4,900, up from US$4,284 in 2023. The article does not detail the Ministry of Planning and Investment’s rationale for setting this target…
Vietnam growth risks ‘tilted toward the downside’: AMRO
Risks to growth are tilted towards the downside due to weaker-than-expected consumer demand in the U.S., a sharp growth slowdown in Europe, and slower growth in China among several other challenges, according to the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office.
Vietnam risking “one-way connector” role in global trade: World Bank
“Countries like Vietnam have benefited from “connecting” major trading partners as global tensions rose, but the scope for playing such a role may be shrinking,” according to the World Bank.
Vietnam’s GDP growth hits 7.4 percent in Q3 2024 [with table breakdown]
Vietnam’s GDP grew by 7.4 percent in the third quarter of 2024 compared to 2023, according to data from the General Office of Statistics. A total of 4.08 percent of Vietnam’s GDP this year has come from the forestry and fishery sector; with industry and construction accounting for a further 48.88 percent and the service sector accounting for the remaining 47.04 percent.
AMRO lowers ASEAN growth forecast on Vietnam, Indonesia downward revisions
ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office–AMRO–has lowered its growth forecast for the ASEAN region from 4.8 percent to 4.7 percent after revising down the GDP growth forecasts of Vietnam and Indonesia by a tenth of a point each, according to the body’s ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook Update, October 2024. “The sharp but
Should Vietnam Be Worried About Indonesia Joining the CPTPP?
Last week, Indonesia officially applied to join the Comprehensive and Progressive Trans-Pacific Partnership free trade agreement. Whereas the benefits to Indonesia are clear, for Vietnam, a founding member of the agreement, it could be problematic. This article looks at the risks and opportunities for Vietnam if Indonesia’s accession is approved…
Vietnam-made tyres subject of South African anti–dumping investigation
This announcement is in line with a growing narrative around Chinese producers using third-countries, particularly in Southeast Asia to circumvent trade remedies. Of note, genuine Vietnamese producers and exporters often get caught up in these investigations. Whereas they can apply for separate antidumping rates, this still consumes time and resources that many local firms, on the back of broader economic challenges, may not have.
In today’s Vietnam news: VN renews antidumping tariffs on Thai sugar, Power supply challenges continue, USTR tariffs forced labour, AMRO growth forecast downgrade, Foreign
In today’s Vietnam news: Fund outflows May, New HCMC airport trial operations to begin September, M&A HCMC 2026, Compensation for gas-to-electric bike switch Hanoi,
In today’s Vietnam news: Vietnam gene company planned Hong Kong IPO, Samsung signs DPPA, Oil delivery from Iraq, Bio-fuel mandate roll-out reaction, Stock market
This is an interview with Chris Walker, a Vietnam Sourcing Expert with Vietnam Factory Tours how rising oil prices and the Middle East crisis are
This is an interview with John Gardner, CEO and Founding Partner, at Optimum Hospitality in Ho Chi Minh City. It covers fuel price impacts on:
This is an interview with Dr Nuno F. Ribeiro, Associate Professor, International Tourism & Hospitality Management at Copenhagen Business College, formerly of RMIT Vietnam. It