Services & Trade

This category includes the service sector, retail, logistics, finance, e-commerce, and tourism, alongside trade policy and investment trends. It covers import/export dynamics, banking regulations, stock market movements, and infrastructure development. With increasing integration into regional and global trade, this section provides insights into consumer behavior, foreign investment, and evolving service industries.

US tariffs: insights from US-based Vietnam Trade Counselor

The US will prioritize negotiations with several countries, including Vietnam, India, the UK, Japan, South Korea, and Indonesia in tariff talks, Do Ngoc Hung, Trade Counselor at the Vietnam Trade Office in the US has told a conference, as reported by Cafe F. This comes as the end of a 90-day pause on a 46 percent import tariff on Vietnamese goods draws uncomfortably nearer.

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Vietnam’s housing and construction costs rise in March amid strong rental demand

The consumer price index (CPI) for housing, electricity, water, fuel, and construction materials rose by 0.5 percent in March 2025, contributing 0.09 percentage points to overall CPI growth. The increase was largely driven by higher rents and input material costs, while declines in utility and fuel prices provided some offset, according to data from the General Statistics Office.

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Vietnam foreign exchange market to reach US$7.9 billion by 2033: Report

Vietnam’s foreign exchange market reached US$3.4 billion in 2024 and is forecast to more than double to US$7.9 billion by 2033, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.61 percent during 2025–2033. The sector is expanding on the back of robust exports, foreign direct investment, and growing financial market sophistication, according to a report from IMARC Group.

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Philippines: IMF trims 2025 GDP growth forecast to 5.5 percent

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down the Philippines’ GDP growth forecast for 2025 in its April 2025 World Economic Outlook, while inflation expectations have been nudged upward. The new projections show real GDP expanding by 5.5 percent in 2025, a modest downgrade from 5.8 percent in October 2024, with a forecast of 5.8 percent for 2026.

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GDP: IMF forecasts Vietnam growth to reach just 4 percent in 2026

Vietnam’s near-term economic outlook has dimmed slightly, with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowering its GDP growth forecast for 2025 and 2026 in its latest April 2025 World Economic Outlook. Real GDP is now projected to grow 5.2 percent in 2025 and 4.0 percent in 2026, compared to 6.1 percent and 6.1 percent in the October 2024 forecast. This marks a downward revision of 0.9 percentage points for 2025 and a sharp 2.1 points for 2026.

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Banking: Vietnam’s bad debt jumps 3.3 percent in first two month of 2025

Nguyen Quoc Hung, General Secretary of the Vietnam Banking Association, has raised concerns about the speed at which bad debt is rising in Vietnam, Tuoi Tre is reporting. Total bad debt stood at VND 1,030 trillion (US$41.18 billion) at the end of 2024, rising by VND 34 trillion (US$1.36 billion), or about 3.3 percent, in the first two months of 2025.

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Vietnam stock market jumps as foreign investors net-sell US$185 million

Vietnam’s benchmark indices saw modest gains on April 16, supported by strong liquidity across the board. Foreign investors, however, were heavy net sellers, offloading over VND 4.6 trillion (US$185 million) in shares. The bulk of the sell-off by foreign investors was in Vingroup (VIC), it’s not immediately clear why.

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Drinks and tobacco prices in Vietnam rise in March 2025

In March 2025, the price index for drinks and tobacco in Vietnam saw an increase of 0.69% compared to the previous month, according to Vietnam’s Consumer Price Index. This contributed to a 0.09 percentage point rise in the overall CPI for March 2025.

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