currency

The Currency category covers foreign exchange markets, monetary policy, and macroeconomic factors affecting currency valuations. It explores exchange rate fluctuations, central bank interventions, inflationary trends, and trade impacts, providing insights into currency markets, forex trading, and financial regulations. This section is essential for businesses, investors, and policymakers monitoring the effects of currency movements on the economy.

 

State Bank of Vietnam returns to buying up US dollars

Notably, this may be problematic with Vietnam already on the US currency manipulator watchlist after meeting two of the three criteria, namely a material account surplus greater than 3 percent of GDP and a goods surplus with the US greater than US$15 billion. It has thus far, however, failed to meet the third criteria: foreign currency purchases in eight out of 12 consecutive months, worth more than 2 percent of GDP…

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Vietnamese dong undervalued by 33.3 percent: Economist Big Mac index

Of note, since the start of the year, the Vietnamese dong has only devalued against the US dollar by about 4.5 percent since January 1. This has been on the back of efforts by the State Bank to keep the local currency from devaluing further against the US dollar by issuing treasury bills and burning through its US dollar and gold reserves…

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What Does a Devalued Yen Mean for Vietnam?

Earlier this year the Japanese yen hit a 38-year low against the greenback and it’s currently sitting about 15 percent lower now than it was at the start of the year. Similarly, the Vietnamese dong took a big fall but has been propped up by the State Bank which has by extension kept the local currency higher against the Yen too. This article looks at what that might mean for Vietnam…

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Vietnam maintains position on US currency manipulator Monitoring List

Of note, the foreign currency criteria only addresses purchasing activity but not selling activity. Vietnam, however, has been dipping into its foreign currency reserves in order to stop the dong from devaluing since April… This speaks to Vietnam’s motives in the way it manages its currency, in that it does not necessarily appear to be trying to gain an unfair advantage in international trade even if its place on the Monitoring List might suggest otherwise…

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Interest rate hike speculation in Vietnam heats up

Whereas the bank has been spending its US dollar reserves in an attempt to keep the dong from devaluing too much, the reality is that it has already spent a lot–about US$2.95 billion according to ACB data and this has done little to weaken US dollar demand. With this in mind, an interest rate hike could be on the horizon.

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US dollar still at 25,450 dong level, more FX reserves needed

US dollars were being sold for 25,484 Vietnamese dong Sunday at some banks. This is above the 25,450 mark at which the State Bank of Vietnam has intervened by spending foreign currency reserves in the past. On the black market, US dollars were even higher selling for 25,800 a piece.

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UOB says Fed rate cut will see dong appreciate by year-end

Singpore’s United Overseas Bank–or UOB–has said that it expects the dong to appreciate between now and the end of the year, The Investor is reporting. This is reflected in UOB’s Quarterly Global Outlook 2Q24 which suggests that a recovery in China will likely strengthen the local currency as well as

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The Dong’s Wild Ride: Unpacked

The day that Russia invaded Ukraine, on February 24, 2022, the Vietnamese dong was trading at 22,843 dong to one US dollar–it had barely moved since the start of the year. This was in line with much of the past decade in which the local currency had only depreciated marginally,

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Bank of America expects dong to slide another 1 percent in 2024

The Bank of America is expecting the Vietnamese dong to slide by another 1 percent by the end of the year, CNBC is reporting. According to the publication, the BofA made the assessment based on “Vietnam’s political instability following the second presidential resignation in two years as well as difficulty

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Importers, exporters disagree over Vietnam’s currency strategy

A 1 percent increase in the value of the US dollar could equate to a US$12.1 million annual loss for Vietnam ‘s national carrier, according to Dang Ngoc Hoa, chairman of Vietnam Airlines, and reported by VN Express. The chairman of PetroVietnam, Le Manh Hung, is also advocating for keeping

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Vietnam C.bank starts issuing T-bills to reduce pressure on dong

The State Bank of Vietnam issued VND 14.999 trillion or US$609 million yesterday in a  renewed attempt to halt the devaluation of the local currency, The Investor is reporting. Key takeaways: Overnight loans account for 90 percent of transactions and were attracting an interest rate of 1.17 percent on March

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This opinion piece re: US dollar, gold prices in Vietnam

Penned by Nguyen Huu Huan, an economist at the Ho Chi Minh City University of Economics, this piece in The Investor makes several points about US dollar and gold prices in Vietnam. These include: Gold fever is being driven by a lack of other investment options; The rising price of

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Black market US dollar prices in Vietnam highest ever

On the black market in Vietnam the US dollar is fetching up to 25,600 Vietnamese dong, the highest price it has ever pulled, according to Tuoi Tre. Conversely, the State Bank of Vietnam’s (SBV) floating peg is currently sitting at 24,012 with official channels permitted to buy the dong for

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