Vietnam’s economic outlook for both 2025 and 2026, has been revised down by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) on challenges in external demand, per the banks Asian Development Outlook July 2025→view source.
The country’s GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been cut from 6.6 percent to 6.3 percent, while the 2026 projection has been lowered from 6.5 percent to 6.0 percent.
Vietnam is forecast to be the fastest-growing economy in Southeast Asia in 2025, ahead of the Philippines (5.6 percent), Indonesia (5.0 percent), Malaysia (4.3 percent), Thailand (1.8 percent), and Singapore (1.6 percent).
Inflation in Vietnam is forecast at 3.9 percent in 2025, one of the highest in the region but lower than previously projected. This compares with 2.2 percent in the Philippines, 2.4 percent in Malaysia, 1.5 percent in Indonesia, 1 percent in Singapore, and .5 percent in Thailand.
See also: Vietnam’s H1:2025 GDP Growth: Key Drivers, Rising Risks
ADB ASEAN growth forecasts July 2025
| GDP Growth | Inflation | |||||||
| Forecast Year | 2025 | 2025 | 2026 | 2026 | 2025 | 2025 | 2026 | 2026 |
| Report Month | April | July | April | July | April | July | April | July |
| Southeast Asia | 4.7 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Indonesia | 5 | 5 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 2 | 1.5 | 2 | 2 |
| Malaysia | 4.9 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Philippines | 6 | 5.6 | 6.1 | 5.8 | 3 | 2.2 | 3 | 3 |
| Singapore | 2.6 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Thailand | 2.8 | 1.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Vietnam | 6.6 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6 | 4 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.8 |