the-shiv

A different perspective on Vietnam’s economy and doing business in Vietnam. Make sure to  subscribe.

cheat sheets

snapshots

Vietnam’s Stock Market, November 2023: Snapshot

Vietnam’s stock market started off November on an uncomfortable footing. Allegations of stock market manipulation had led to the authorities announcing a crackdown on the practice though details of exactly how this ‘crackdown’ would play out on a practical level were scant. That said, it was not unexpected. The head of FLC, the man at the centre of these allegations, had been arrested at the end of last year and a flurry of similar cases of nefarious stock market trading have been revealed over the last twelve months.

On that note, adding to the flurry in November, a Danang man was fined for using 76 accounts belonging to 21 investors to manipulate the price of a real estate firm listed on the Ho Chi Minh Stock Exchange (HoSE). He was subsequently banned from trading for two years and fined US$61,000.

This provides some interesting context for news that more trading accounts had been closed in October than new accounts had been opened. The bulk of the closed accounts, 543,753 out of 545,000, had been the result of MB Securities closing out accounts that had never been used. Harmless housekeeping sure, but it also brings into question the status of the other seven million or so trading accounts registered with the Vietnam Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation.

But stock market manipulation wasn’t the only challenge the local bourse was facing. One of Vietnam’s biggest food processing firms, Kido, was also fined in November for breaching a number of listing rules and regulations. These included disclosing information late, failing to report on how the funds raised through corporate bonds had been spent, and a lack of clarity around the remuneration packages of board members. All up the firm was fined US$9,660.

It wasn’t just local disclosure breaches that were causing problems for stocks in Vietnam either. On November 17, local press reported that a drop in the VN-Index had been caused by news that a possible lawsuit was in the works in the US against Vietnam’s homegrown electric car maker VinFast for delayed disclosures. As part of the country’s biggest conglomerate, VinGroup, the potential for a lawsuit against the auto-manufacturer, VN Express suggested, had spooked investors in the company’s ecosystem broadly. 

Finally, it was also reported in November that Vietnam had just eight IPOs last year compared to 42 in Thailand and 59 in Indonesia. State media suggested this was because there was a lack of diversity in the stock market which was a turn-off for foreign traders, which in turn meant that it was difficult for local companies to raise capital through IPOs making IPOs a less attractive option for raising capital–a cycle that may be difficult to break.

Although, it’s also worth noting that Thailand and Indonesia are both considered ‘emerging’ markets whereas Vietnam is still considered a ‘frontier’ market by key index analysts FTSE Ruseel and MSCI (See: The Vietnam Stock Exchange: Quick Guide 2023: Market Status). This may, in fact, be the bigger problem, or to look at it another way, resolving this problem may be the solution the local market is looking for.

All of that said, the HoSE finished the month on a high with the VN-Index up nearly 60 points on November 30 compared to November 1. This was, however, after a somewhat choppy month. It’s also worth noting that foreign traders continued to pull funds from the market to the tune of US$158.5 million  (data below).

🡇 Get snapshots sent straight to your inbox 🡇
[sibwp_form id=2]

VN-Index, historic data, November 2023

DateCloseOpenHighLowChange
1-Nov1,039.661,0281,0401,0201.12%
2-Nov1,075.471,0401,0751,0403.44%
3-Nov1,076.781,0751,0821,0710.12%
6-Nov1,089.661,0771,0901,0771.20%
7-Nov1,080.291,0901,0901,079-0.86%
8-Nov1,113.431,0801,1131,0763.07%
9-Nov1,113.891,1131,1251,1120.04%
10-Nov1,101.681,1141,1161,101-1.10%
13-Nov1,100.071,1041,1081,093-0.15%
14-Nov1,109.731,1001,1161,1000.88%
15-Nov1,122.501,1101,1331,1101.15%
16-Nov1,125.531,1231,1261,1150.27%
17-Nov1,101.191,1261,1301,096-2.16%
20-Nov1,103.661,1011,1111,0850.22%
21-Nov1,110.461,1041,1131,1040.62%
22-Nov1,113.821,1101,1151,1030.30%
23-Nov1,088.491,1141,1191,088-2.27%
24-Nov1,095.611,0881,0961,0730.65%
27-Nov1,088.061,0961,0971,086-0.69%
28-Nov1,095.431,0881,0951,0760.68%
29-Nov1,102.801,0951,1051,0950.67%
30-Nov1,094.131,1021,1071,094-0.79%

Foreign investor trades on HoSE, November 2023

BuySellChange
DateVNDUS$VNDUS$VNDUS$
1-Nov1,77973,240,0071,88877,727,450-109-4,487,443
2-Nov1,33554,960,8821,48060,930,416-145-5,969,534
3-Nov1,78173,322,3451,51462,330,16926710,992,176
6-Nov1,47360,642,2321,12046,109,50435314,532,728
7-Nov97440,098,8011,23951,008,639-265-10,909,838
8-Nov1,43559,077,8021,70170,028,809-266-10,951,007
9-Nov1,54863,729,9222,35496,912,297-806-33,182,375
10-Nov1,55864,141,6141,79173,734,037-233-9,592,424
13-Nov1,11045,697,8121,48861,259,770-378-15,561,958
14-Nov1,02542,198,4301,35955,948,943-334-13,750,513
15-Nov1,69469,740,6251,44959,654,17124510,086,454
16-Nov1,03042,404,2761,16047,756,272-130-5,351,996
17-Nov85635,240,8351,60566,076,566-749-30,835,731
20-Nov1,34855,496,08288336,352,40446519,143,678
21-Nov83334,293,9441,41558,254,418-582-23,960,474
22-Nov83834,499,7901,58465,212,013-746-30,712,223
23-Nov92838,205,0181,37456,566,481-446-18,361,463
24-Nov1,28352,820,08488436,393,57339916,426,511
27-Nov63526,142,44259524,495,674401,646,768
28-Nov89736,928,77284834,911,482492,017,291
29-Nov97440,098,8011,07444,215,721-100-4,116,920
30-Nov1,18448,744,3331,56764,512,136-383-15,767,804
Total26,5181,091,724,84630,3721,250,390,942-3,854-158,666,097

 

latest news

Vietnam’s adds US$2.8 billion in registered FDI, July [data set]

Vietnam added another 278 foreign direct invested projects to its 2024 tally in July, along with just over US$2.8 billion in additional capital commitments, according to data from Vietnam’s Ministry of Planning and Investment. The biggest gains were in manufacturing and processing which added 96 new projects and US$1.97 billion.

Read More »

Vietnam credit growth reaches 6 percent to June

Of note, last year, credit growth limits languished for the better part of the year. In October, however, when it became clear that the same 14 percent credit growth target would not be hit, Vietnam’s banks embarked on some very aggressive marketing campaigns. Rising bad debts in the first six months of this year, however, could suggest there were some quality issues with these loans.

Read More »

US logistics, supply chain management firm opens Vietnam office

Of note, in 2023 Vietnam’s transportation and storage sector surpassed VND 502.56 trillion or US$19.807 billion, constituting 4.92 percent of the country’s total GDP.  This could represent broad opportunities for foreign firms, however, foreign ownership limits in logistics services can be very restrictive. For example, foreign firms are prohibited from owning more than 34 percent of an airline…

Read More »

Vietnam News Roundup: July 19 to July 25

This week’s Vietnam news roundup covers foreign trader stock market activity, bad debts, GDP targets, offshore wind developments, a new waste-to-energy plant in HCMC, soft drink market forecasts, and the latest developments in Vietnam’s quest to have its designation as a ‘non-market’ economy revoked by the US Department of Commerce, and more…

Read More »

Vietnam bad debt hits 6.9 percent

Of note, pursuant to amendments to Circular 39 made in June, loan applications for less than VND 100 million or about US$4,000 no longer need to detail a plan for the borrowed funds. Also back in November and December of last year, to meet annual credit growth targets, Vietnam’s banks embarked on some pretty aggressive lending campaigns that saw credit growth jump considerably but in what looked like mostly consumer loans. It could be that some of these loans are now turning bad…

Read More »
your listing
your details

advertising enquiry

submit a press release

Note that it will be marked as a press release/sponsored post.

guest post

We publish guest posts of 800 to 1000 words from experts who have something unique to say on topics relevant to our audience. 

get connected with an expert

letters to the editor

We review letters for quality and authority and generally only publish views that add to the discussion from experts in their field.